HackerTube / Video
Derren Brown - The System (Full)
ScepticaTV
Derren Brown's TV special in which he convinces a person he has a system for predicting horse race winners, demonstrating how survivorship bias and selective outcomes can fake predictive powers.
HN cites it as the classic demonstration of survivorship and confirmation bias in betting, trading and prediction claims.
6 Hacker News mentions · 2013–2017